By José Negrón Valera on September 28, 2018
Venezuela’s President Nicolas Maduro’s speech to the United Nations General Assembly was a severe blow to the arrogance of the United States and its strategic partners in the world. Less than 24 hours later, Washington has decided to unleash the demons against the South American nation.
Part One: the precursor to the conflict
During the first hours of the afternoon, a radiogram attributed to the General Command of the Military Forces of Colombia was leaked to international public opinion, that all military units of the country are ordered to go to their “barracks”. An action that does not seem to bring good omens.
In parallel and with a suspicious coincidence, the UN Human Rights Council approves a resolution urging Venezuela to “allow in the entry of humanitarian aid”.
Both actions were preceded by statements from U.S. Vice President Mike Pence, who warned that Nicolas Maduro “had moved military troops to the Colombian border,” in what he calls, “an obvious attempt at intimidation.”
With these statements Pence has turned a legitimate defensive maneuver by the Venezuelan into the perfect excuse to raise Colombia’s threat level and push them to the brink of war with Venezuela.
The real reason why the United States fears the deployment of the so-called Strategic Defensive Operation, ordered by President Nicolás Maduro, is that it fights cross-border crimes and unites the Venezuelan nation with its global allies like China. The US did not expect the Venezuelan government to send armor with such speed to the flank most susceptible to attack.
A few weeks ago, Barack Obama’s chief of staff, Rahm Emanuel, warned that Trump would use a military action in Venezuela to “obtain political benefits” in the upcoming November elections in the United States.
One of the major beneficiaries from would be the right wing belligerent promoter of war with Venezuela, Marco Rubio, the Florida senator, who has extensive connections in Colombia, especially with former president Alvaro Uribe Velez.
It is not impossible that the virulence, which the media corporations in Bogotá and Miami activated to make impossible a meeting between Trump and Maduro on the last day of the opening session of the UN, was ordered by the Rubio-Uribe connection to undermine any rapprochement between Washington and Caracas.
Part two: the possible conflict
With a non-existent political opposition within Venezuela and the fear that a military action could turn into a dead end, the United States is clear that it needs to fracture the unity of the Armed Force in order to guarantee the country’s governability and secondly, that it will not intervene directly but will use Colombia for the initiation of violence.
The United States does not want a possible conflict with Venezuela to be seen as an imperialist war that generates worldwide rejection. It prefers to turn it into a regional dispute between neighbors. Their purpose is to give it a local dimension and generate a media and military siege for the duration of military operations.
On the other hand, it is important to note that the strategy is not going to be aimed at a military victory as such. The United States knows that Colombia does not have the armament strength of Venezuela. In order to do so, NATO would have to intervene, and this comes up against the same problem of being seen for what it is; and imperialist endeavor. Its intention is to carry out specific actions, using the special operations forces of Colombia, trained by the American commandos, in concert with the paramilitary groups that act on the Colombian border.
The aggression would be carried out to provoke the psychological effect of the break-up of the Venezuelan Armed Forces and also to generate political pressure on the government of Nicolás Maduro.
The Pentagon and the Presidential Palace of Colombia are aware that the development of a conflict with Venezuela will cause the thousands of Colombians who are treated in Venezuelan public hospitals, as well as the hundreds who cross the border to study at Venezuelan universities and buy food at lower prices than in their country’s super markets, could generate a humanitarian problem for Colombia. So whatever the military adventure is it would have to be limited in duration
At this point however it could be entirely possible that the aggression on the Colombian side was nothing but a simple distraction for the real military objective.
We could imagine that while the military forces and the Venezuelan political attention shift their attention towards the more than 2,000 kilometers the border with Colombia, allies of the US military try to go through the Orinoco Delta and the Venezuelan Amazon to control the state of Bolivar and with its energy plants that generate 70% of the country’s electricity.
This would be looting of the first order, because it would force a negotiation from the Venezuelan government. In addition, in a nightmare scenario like this, possibly Guyana in alliance with the large transnational oil companies would take advantage to advance illegally on the region of the Esequibo.
This is a plan of ‘divide and conquer’ very consistent with the balkanization of countries to weaken them and ultimately control them. The violent protests of 2014 and 2017 in Venezuela were a test balloon to prove the success of such a strategy, so they already have a precedent.
In any case, the situation needs a lot of attention and we still have to add to this the complex panorama of the role that the Colombian guerrillas might play, specifically the National Liberation Army (ELN) and the new dissidence of the FARC in any possible conflict.
At the moment, Venezuela’s best defense against the war desires of Washington and Bogota lies in its military doctrine and in the fact that US and NATO intelligence analysts working behind the scenes through social media know that a military action against the Venezuela would be to lay out the red carpet for Russia and China to take the initiative in the South American continent and turn the geopolitical chessboard around once and for all.
https://mundo.sputniknews.com/firmas/201809281082329577-habra-guerra-en-venezuela/
Source: Sputnik