By Alejandra Garcia on May 27, 2025
Daniel Noboa, rich kid turned president
The official results of the second round of elections held in Ecuador on April 13 do not reflect the electoral reality. This race, where incumbent president Daniel Noboa obtained the victory, “was a mega fraud against the candidate Luisa Gonzalez, of the Citizen Revolution movement, and we will file a lawsuit for alleged embezzlement,” the former president of Ecuador, Rafael Correa, stated to the media recently.
According to Correa, the complaint for fraud is based on massive embezzlement of public funds and “surely it will be done in the next few days,“ added the former president, who insisted: ”Noboa should never have been a candidate, he should have been criminally tried for using public resources for his campaign. If we had done another part of this, we would already be facing the International Criminal Court”.
Contrary to what previous polls showed, in which Gonzalez seemed to have an advantage, the official results gave the victory to Daniel Noboa with an overwhelming majority of 55.63%, against the 44.37% obtained by the leftist candidate. Correa qualified these results as “mathematically, statistically and electorally impossible”.
To support his accusation, the former president cited several mathematicians and statistical experts. One of them, the Venezuelan Francisco Rodriguez, from the University of Denver, pointed out that Noboa’s 11.3 point advantage is “highly anomalous” and difficult to explain from a statistical point of view. Regarding the polls, Correa explained that different post-electoral measurements made by his movement showed very different results from the official ones.
The consulting firm Estrategias y Negocios, for example, indicated that Luisa Gonzalez would reach 48.6% of the votes, while Daniel Noboa obtained 47.6%. Another survey, conducted by the Argentinean Carlos Farah, even showed a technical tie between both candidates.
The former Ecuadorian president also questioned the integrity of the electoral process from a technical and statistical point of view. He pointed out that in 15,927 polling stations, almost 40% of the total, Gonzalez’s votes decreased compared to the first round, instead of increasing, as would have been expected in a legitimate electoral process where other candidates would have been taken out of the equation in the opening round.
“It is impossible that a cataclysm shift would have occurred in those tables,” Correa affirmed, suggesting that these results are clear signs of irregularities. Correa concluded that these anomalies and inconsistencies in the data make it impossible to accept the official results and announced that his movement will file a formal complaint to investigate the alleged embezzlement and electoral fraud, seeking to clarify the truth and defend the will of the voters.
Noboa knows that he did not win because he did not call for a Constituent Assembly to reform the Constitution, as he promised in his campaign. “If I were president, I would immediately call for a Constituent Assembly because I know that I am going to win it. Why do you think he went backwards? Because they know they didn’t win. Why don’t they sign an agreement with the OAS to do a comprehensive audit in the elections, as was done in Bolivia in 2019,” he asked.
In the face of the threat posed by Noboa, whom Correa defined as “a spoiled rich boy who turned Ecuador into his personal banana factory,” Correa called on Ecuadorians to continue fighting. In an intervention via Zoom from his asylum in Belgium, the former president said: “They will have millions of dollars, media power, economic power, religious power, foreign power. But, we have the people, we must organize ourselves, commit ourselves and not lose hope”.
Source: Resumen Latinoamericano – English